| 1. Identity statement | ||||
| Reference Type | Journal Article | |||
| Site | mtc-m21c.sid.inpe.br | |||
| Holder Code | isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S | |||
| Identifier | 8JMKD3MGP3W34R/3TCFB28 | |||
| Repository | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21c/2019/05.27.11.07 (restricted access) | |||
| Last Update | 2019:05.27.11.07.21 (UTC) simone | |||
| Metadata Repository | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21c/2019/05.27.11.07.21 | |||
| Metadata Last Update | 2021:01.02.22.16.31 (UTC) administrator | |||
| DOI | 10.1007/s00382-018-4457-z | |||
| ISSN | 0930-7575 | |||
| Citation Key | AndradeCoelCava:2019:GlPrHi | |||
| Title | Global precipitation hindcast quality assessment of the Subseasonal to Seasonal (S2S) prediction project models  | |||
| Year | 2019 | |||
| Month | May | |||
| Access Date | 2024, May 16 | |||
| Secondary Type | PRE PI | |||
| Number of Files | 1 | |||
| Size | 11858 KiB | |||
| 2. Context | ||||
| Author | 1 Andrade, Felipe Marques de 2 Coelho, Caio Augusto dos Santos 3 Cavalcanti, Iracema Fonseca de Albuquerque | |||
| Resume Identifier | 1 2 3 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JHDE | |||
| Group | 1 DIDOP-CGCPT-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR 2 DIDOP-CGCPT-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR 3 DIDMD-CGCPT-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR | |||
| Affiliation | 1 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 2 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 3 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) | |||
| Author e-Mail Address | 1 felipestratus@gmail.com 2 caio.coelho@inpe.br 3 iracema.cavalcanti@inpe.br | |||
| Journal | Climate Dynamics | |||
| Volume | 52 | |||
| Number | 9/10 | |||
| Pages | 5451-5475 | |||
| Secondary Mark | A1_INTERDISCIPLINAR A1_GEOCIÊNCIAS A1_CIÊNCIAS_BIOLÓGICAS_I A1_CIÊNCIAS_AMBIENTAIS A1_BIODIVERSIDADE A2_ENGENHARIAS_I A2_ASTRONOMIA_/_FÍSICA B1_CIÊNCIA_DA_COMPUTAÇÃO | |||
| History (UTC) | 2019-05-27 11:07:21 :: simone -> administrator :: 2019-05-27 11:07:22 :: administrator -> simone :: 2019 2019-06-18 17:01:38 :: simone -> administrator :: 2019 2019-07-02 19:02:04 :: administrator -> simone :: 2019 2019-12-06 16:52:49 :: simone -> administrator :: 2019 2021-01-02 22:16:31 :: administrator -> simone :: 2019 | |||
| 3. Content and structure | ||||
| Is the master or a copy? | is the master | |||
| Content Stage | completed | |||
| Transferable | 1 | |||
| Content Type | External Contribution | |||
| Version Type | publisher | |||
| Keywords | Subseasonal prediction S2S prediction project models Hindcast quality Precipitation Teleconnections | |||
| Abstract | This study assessed subseasonal global precipitation hindcast quality from all Subseasonal to Seasonal (S2S) prediction project models. Deterministic forecast quality of weekly accumulated precipitation was verified using different metrics and hindcast data considering lead times up to 4weeks. The correlation scores were found to be higher during the first week and dropped as lead time increased, confining meaningful signals in the tropics mostly due to El Nino-Southern Oscillation and Madden-Julian Oscillation-related effects. The contribution of these two phenomena to hindcast quality was assessed by removing their regressed precipitation patterns from predicted fields. The model's rank showed ECMWF, UKMO, and KMA as the top scoring models even when using a single control member instead of the mean of all ensemble members. The lowest correlation was shared by CMA, ISAC, and HMCR for most weeks. Models with larger ensemble sizes presented noticeable reduction in correlation when subsampled to fewer perturbed members, showing the value of ensemble prediction. Systematic errors were measured through bias and variance ratio revealing in general large positive (negative) biases and variance overestimation (underestimation) over the tropical oceans (continents and/or extratropics). The atmospheric circulation hindcast quality was also examined suggesting the importance of using a relatively finer spatial resolution and a coupled model for resolving the tropical circulation dynamics, particularly for simulating tropical precipitation variability. The extratropical circulation hindcast quality was found to be low after the second week likely due to the inherent unpredictability of the extratropical variability and errors associated with model deficiencies in representing teleconnections. | |||
| Area | MET | |||
| Arrangement 1 | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > DIDMD > Global precipitation hindcast... | |||
| Arrangement 2 | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > DIDOP > Global precipitation hindcast... | |||
| doc Directory Content | access | |||
| source Directory Content | there are no files | |||
| agreement Directory Content |
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| 4. Conditions of access and use | ||||
| Language | en | |||
| Target File | Andrade2019_Article_GlobalPrecipitationHindcastQua.pdf | |||
| User Group | simone | |||
| Reader Group | administrator simone | |||
| Visibility | shown | |||
| Archiving Policy | denypublisher denyfinaldraft12 | |||
| Read Permission | deny from all and allow from 150.163 | |||
| Update Permission | not transferred | |||
| 5. Allied materials | ||||
| Next Higher Units | 8JMKD3MGPCW/43SKC35 8JMKD3MGPCW/43SQKNE | |||
| Citing Item List | sid.inpe.br/bibdigital/2021/01.01.17.20 2 sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21/2012/07.13.14.50.18 1 | |||
| Dissemination | WEBSCI; PORTALCAPES; AGU; COMPENDEX; SCOPUS. | |||
| Host Collection | urlib.net/www/2017/11.22.19.04 | |||
| 6. Notes | ||||
| Empty Fields | alternatejournal archivist callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel e-mailaddress format isbn label lineage mark mirrorrepository nextedition notes orcid parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarykey session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype typeofwork url | |||
| 7. Description control | ||||
| e-Mail (login) | simone | |||
| update | ||||